2025-26 regular season. NBA over/under pool. Chester Ismay has tracked it here since 2020-21 and run it since 2025-26.

The O/U Finals

Who reached the O/U Finals

The two players with the most drafted teams in the conference finals advance. A tie goes to the higher regular-season seed.

The draft board

Won the NBA titleReached the conference finals

Round by round

The first player in each round's order chooses the group. Anyone can pass except the last player in that round's order. A player who takes a pick slot early can't use that slot again in a later round.

How the playoffs work

  1. Who plays: the top four from the regular-season standings, seeded in that order.
  2. The groups: each conference's bracket is split in half, so each group of four NBA teams sends exactly one team to the conference finals. Play-in slots are drafted before the play-in finishes; whoever wins the slot belongs to the player who drafted it.
  3. The draft: four rounds, one per group. The order rotates each round, and the first player in the order picks which group the round drafts from. Every player ends with one team from each group.
  4. Passing: at each pick slot, the player up can take a team or pass to the next player in that round's order. The last player in the order can't pass. Each player uses each pick slot (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th) only once across the four rounds, so a slot spent early is gone later.
  5. The O/U semifinal: the two players with the most teams in the conference finals advance. A tie goes to the higher seed.
  6. The O/U Finals: the two finalists draft the four conference finalists between them. The higher seed can pick first or pass. Whoever ends up with the NBA champion wins.