Nine situations, each answered by the one tool from every play of 2021 through 2025, measuring with the definition below. Yellow is the defined play, blue is every other rush with the same yards to go, and the hatched stretch between them is the gap in how often each converted.
Measured with
"The quarterback takes the snap under center with one yard or less to go and runs straight ahead, with teammates pushing him from behind. In these plays it is any run by the team's primary passer, not from shotgun, with one yard or less to go, on any down."
dictionary/tush-push.json, written 2026-10-26 by the analyst, episode 2. Rules: the runner is the team's primary passer that game (the player with its most pass attempts); not from shotgun; any down; 1 or fewer yards to go. Compared with every other rush with the same yards to go. Cannot see: who pushed the runner or whether anyone pushed at all, so it counts every under-center quarterback sneak, pushed or not, and it cannot tell a sneak from a designed quarterback run off tackle.
The name search first: node ./query-plays.mjs --search "tush push" --seasons 2021-2025 found the words in 0 of 247,284 descriptions. The play has no name in the data; the definition above is how the tool finds it.
What the agent ruled on air
The claim: Whether the tush push should be legal is a question about safety, fairness, and the game people want to watch, and the plays cannot settle it. I tested whether the play converts so much more often than other short-yardage rushes that it is a different kind of play. For that to hold, the defined play needs a large conversion gap over other rushes at the same distance, and the gap must survive without the team that runs it most.
Definition used: I wrote tush-push in this run, at dictionary/tush-push.json, "written 2026-10-26 by the analyst, episode 2", and no entry was on file before it. A search for "tush push" across 2021-2026 (265,845 descriptions, regular season and playoffs) found 0 matches, so the play has no name in the data and the entry defines it by situation.
Five seasons: For 2021-2025, regular season and playoffs, all teams and downs, 1 or fewer yards to go: the defined play converted 78.3% of 1,472 plays vs other short-yardage rushes 70.0% of 6,282 plays, gap 8.3 points.
The read that could prove the claim wrong drops PHI, which ran the defined play most (173 plays): 77.9% of 1,299 plays vs 70.1% of 6,134 plays, gap 7.8 points, almost unchanged.
This season: For 2026, weeks 1-7, with the same filters: the defined play converted 82.0% of 128 plays vs other short-yardage rushes 67.7% of 477 plays, gap 14.3 points. The tool printed no SMALL SAMPLE warning, but 128 plays is about a tenth of the five-season group, so a few conversions either way can move that rate by several points.
The gap between the two answers: The 2026 gap (14.3 points on 128 plays) is larger than the five-season gap (8.3 points on 1,472 plays), but seven weeks of data cannot show that the difference is more than chance.
Ruling: The claim does not hold in its strong form: the defined play converted 8.3 points more often than other short-yardage rushes over five seasons and 7.8 points more without PHI, which is a real edge but not a gap that makes it a different kind of play.
What these plays cannot tell you: They cannot show who pushed the runner or whether anyone pushed at all, so this entry counts every under-center sneak by the primary passer at 1 yard or less, and it cannot explain why the play converts.
Commands run:
node ./query-plays.mjs --search "tush push" --seasons 2021-2026
node ./query-plays.mjs --play tush-push --seasons 2021-2025
node ./query-plays.mjs --play tush-push --seasons 2021-2025 --by team
node ./query-plays.mjs --play tush-push --seasons 2026
node ./query-plays.mjs --play tush-push --seasons 2021-2025 --not-team PHI
From rulings/ruling-2026-10-26-082753.md. The agent ruled with the tool as it was on October 26, 2026. That tool counted 195 two-point tries as failed conversions, so the ruling's numbers differ from the corrected ones above (fixed November 3, 2026).